New Polling in the NJ Governor’s Race Shows Jack Ciattarelli and Mikie Sherrill in a Dead Heat – RedState– redstate.com
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… Now, in a new Quantum Insights poll of likely voters, the Ciattarelli-Sherrill matchup gets even more interesting. Sherrill’s lead is down 10 points from Labor Day, and she only maintains a lead of 2.3 points, within the margin of error. With just a few weeks left in the contest, there is plenty of time for Ciattarelli to move the race into a statistical tie, and even surpass Sherrill.
NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS POLL | New Jersey Likely Voter Survey | Sept 29–30, 2025
📊 Governor’s Race: Sherrill vs. Ciattarelli
🔵 Mikie Sherrill: 48.1% (-1)
🔴 Jack Ciattarelli: 45.8% (+7)
⚪️ Other: 1.6%
🟣Undecided: 4.5%
Lead down from +10 post–Labor Day: Now just +2.3 pts… pic.twitter.com/hbTiA4FjsU— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) September 30, 2025
Among independent voters, Ciattarelli has increased his lead by 13 points, the most significant shift in the race since it began. Ciattarelli holds 51 percent of independents versus Sherrill’s 38 percent. In the poll question on which candidate voters trust to deliver for New Jersey, it is an even split: 50-50 for each candidate.